$3.3 NL HE STT: Top pair facing pressure on low board

F

fundiver199

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Jun 3, 2019
Total posts
15,590
Awards
2
Chips
821
Game
Hold'em
Game Format
No Limit
Table Format
STT
Buy-in
3.3
Game Options
  1. Turbo
Currency
$
Another hand from a 8-man SnG on ACR Poker, this time a microstakes game though. These tend to be a bit softer, because the leaderboard grinding regs dont play them much. Down to 5 players, and since we are the two big stacks, there is quite a bit of ICM-pressure on both of us. With that in mind would you fold here? And how about the earlier streets? No particular info on the Villain.

Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - 100/200 (25 ante) - 5 players
Hand delivered by CardsChat - https://www.cardschat.com/hand-converter.php

luushux (UTG): 2,846 (14 bb)
cassell (CO): 5,084 (25 bb)
Scrip88 (BU): 2,294 (11 bb)
kamione (SB): 841 (4 bb)
fundiver199 (BB): 4,935 (25 bb)

Pre-Flop: (425) Hero (fundiver199) is BB with 7♣ T♦
1 fold, cassell (CO) raises to 400, 2 players fold, fundiver199 (BB) calls 200

Flop: (1,025) 7♥ 2♦ 4♠ (2 players)
fundiver199 (BB) checks, cassell (CO) bets 769, fundiver199 (BB) calls 769

Turn: (2,563) 6♦ (2 players)
fundiver199 (BB) checks, cassell (CO) bets 3,890 (all-in), fundiver199?
 
puzzlefish

puzzlefish

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Feb 18, 2018
Total posts
5,105
Awards
3
CA
Chips
110
This is a problem I find with blind defending with marginal hands. So now you hit top pair but you have no idea how good it is versus your villains' range. Can you fold a top pair questionable kicker on the flop?

Anyway, I would fold this but have called in the past only to see JJ or K7s or something similar that has me dominated.
 
primrose

primrose

Visionary
Bronze Level
Joined
Mar 29, 2024
Total posts
645
Chips
374
I don't think I'm folding. We're not at the top of our range here but we're pretty high up, and there's a lot of hands your opponent could do this with that are weaker. I don't see why I should respect my opponent's range enough to fold top pair here when they've just minraised on the CO. We could definitely be beat, it's probably close to 50/50, but 50% is good enough to call.

But also, this is yet another hand where you just call the flop when I think a raise is probably the stronger play. You have a top pair that's about a coinflip away from not being top pair anymore on the next street; I'd be getting the money in now. Especially out of position.

... on the other hand, the sizing is pretty big on the flop and of course on the turn; that's one reason for both calling the Flop and folding the Turn. And if it's also a weaker field, maybe my first instinct was wrong and you should give up.

Just argue both sides and you can't be wrong!
 
F

fundiver199

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Jun 3, 2019
Total posts
15,590
Awards
2
Chips
821
Can you fold a top pair questionable kicker on the flop?
Thats a good question. I actually wanted to fold because of his sizing, which was unusually large for a C-bet in these games. I felt, that he probably had an overpair, which he wanted to protect. But then I went into kind of GTO mode and thought, that nah... it cant be right to flop top pair and then just straight out fold to a single bet. But maybe the more correct way to think of the situation is, that we have a pair of 7´s with a 10 kicker, which is basically just a weak pair. Yes its top pair right now, but any future card, thats not a 7 or 10, will either be an overcard to our pair, pair the board or complete some kind of straightdraw.
 
G

Geo90

Rock Star
Platinum Level
Joined
Feb 11, 2025
Total posts
260
HU
Chips
230
I would fold, you are in a good position in the tournament, I wouldn't risk my chips with a 107, I might have folded preflop, this one can get me out of the tournament with ellef, he might have a set,A7,K7,overpair but he might just be playing a flush draw
 
F

fundiver199

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Jun 3, 2019
Total posts
15,590
Awards
2
Chips
821
Thanks for the comments. I folded so no point in showing the replay. There is however a reveal, because the opponent was kind enough to show his cards, even though he won without showdown. He had 99.
 
F

fundiver199

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Jun 3, 2019
Total posts
15,590
Awards
2
Chips
821
This is a problem I find with blind defending with marginal hands. So now you hit top pair but you have no idea how good it is versus your villains' range. Can you fold a top pair questionable kicker on the flop?
Yeah I often get a feeling, that do I really need to do this, can I not just fold preflop? Here the issue was a very large C-bet, where right away top pair questionable kicker is already no more than a bluff catcher. In other cases you face a small C-bet, and then if you just call, you allow your opponent to potentially suck out on you and bink a higher pair. But if you take the aggressive route and raise, you are usually behind, when you get action. For instance this is how, an 8-man SnG ended for me today:


But a bit later in the session I defended the exact same hand in an MTT, and that went rather well:


So I guess, we just need to accept, that poker is a long term game.
 
Top