C
Casey55
Rock Star
Silver Level
pokerstars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 5 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker
UTG: $2.00 (100 bb)
CO: $2.00 (100 bb)
BU (Hero): $2.32 (116 bb)
SB: $0.85 (43 bb)
BB: $2.65 (133 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with K♠ A♣
UTG raises to $0.06, 1 fold, Hero 3-bets to $0.18, 2 players fold, UTG 4-bets to $0.42, Hero 5-bets to $2.32 (all-in), UTG calls $1.58 (all-in)
Hand 1. Is shoving AK pre-flop +EV or good play here?
if try to do the math;
Pot size before shove= 0.63
To call= 0.24
We are shoving for 1.58
What's our equity when called? (tell me if you would add or get rid of anything in this range) QQ+,AK
How often he folds: If we give his 4-betting range something like JJ+,AK
he maybe folds only the JJ's, he needs to call 1.58 to win a pot of 3.19 so he needs basically 50% equity versus our range,
If we give ourselves a shoving range of QQ+,AK. Villain's JJ only has 36% equity versus us but at 2nl I don't know if they are capable of folding JJ in this spot because of the money already in the pot.
EV=F($pot)+C(%W*$W)-C(%L*$L)
0x(0.63)1(.40*2.21)1(.60*1.82)
1(0.88)1(1.09)
=0.95
So then this is marginally EV? assuming we think villain is not folding JJ?
Is this math correct? what is a good EV number for it to be worth making this sort of play? obv the high the better but I was wondering as to what is a decent minimum
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PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 4 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker
UTG (Hero): $3.32 (166 bb)
BU: $2.10 (105 bb)
SB: $3.72 (186 bb)
BB: $1.23 (62 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is UTG with J♦ J♠
[FONT=verdana, geneva, lucida, lucida grande, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Hero raises to $0.06, 1 fold, SB 3-bets to $0.24, BB 4-bets to $1.23 (all-in), UTG (Hero) folds, 1 fold
[/FONT]The SB re-raiser was very maniac and LAG-ish who was 3-betting a-lot and playing aggressively, playing in a crazy manner. I called him down one hand when he triple barrel bluffed me and he had 98o which was air I believe. what about the other players range maybe he was also adjusting to the maniac and just getting it in with a decent hand ? do we fold here ?
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker
UTG: $2.00 (100 bb)
CO: $2.00 (100 bb)
BU (Hero): $2.32 (116 bb)
SB: $0.85 (43 bb)
BB: $2.65 (133 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with K♠ A♣
UTG raises to $0.06, 1 fold, Hero 3-bets to $0.18, 2 players fold, UTG 4-bets to $0.42, Hero 5-bets to $2.32 (all-in), UTG calls $1.58 (all-in)
Hand 1. Is shoving AK pre-flop +EV or good play here?
if try to do the math;
Pot size before shove= 0.63
To call= 0.24
We are shoving for 1.58
What's our equity when called? (tell me if you would add or get rid of anything in this range) QQ+,AK
How often he folds: If we give his 4-betting range something like JJ+,AK
he maybe folds only the JJ's, he needs to call 1.58 to win a pot of 3.19 so he needs basically 50% equity versus our range,
If we give ourselves a shoving range of QQ+,AK. Villain's JJ only has 36% equity versus us but at 2nl I don't know if they are capable of folding JJ in this spot because of the money already in the pot.
EV=F($pot)+C(%W*$W)-C(%L*$L)
0x(0.63)1(.40*2.21)1(.60*1.82)
1(0.88)1(1.09)
=0.95
So then this is marginally EV? assuming we think villain is not folding JJ?
Is this math correct? what is a good EV number for it to be worth making this sort of play? obv the high the better but I was wondering as to what is a decent minimum
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PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 4 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker
UTG (Hero): $3.32 (166 bb)
BU: $2.10 (105 bb)
SB: $3.72 (186 bb)
BB: $1.23 (62 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is UTG with J♦ J♠
[FONT=verdana, geneva, lucida, lucida grande, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Hero raises to $0.06, 1 fold, SB 3-bets to $0.24, BB 4-bets to $1.23 (all-in), UTG (Hero) folds, 1 fold
[/FONT]The SB re-raiser was very maniac and LAG-ish who was 3-betting a-lot and playing aggressively, playing in a crazy manner. I called him down one hand when he triple barrel bluffed me and he had 98o which was air I believe. what about the other players range maybe he was also adjusting to the maniac and just getting it in with a decent hand ? do we fold here ?