What are these odds?

twizzybop

twizzybop

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Silver Level
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Apr 24, 2005
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I am in a tourney.. make past 1st break. Part way through heading to second break. I get moved(no problem). I get set next to the chip leader. 3X my stack. I go busted out against him.. all-in vs all-in. Still no problem.. I had A,Q(suited even) to his A,K(off suit)... Mind you this was 2nd hand dealt to me after I got sat at the table. Folded the 1st hand because that was rubbish.

Now what are the odds of getting placed next to the chip leader(he is on my left) and getting heads up so quickly while he has the better starting pre-flop hand?

I just sat there wondering to myself.. Sheesh that is very very very odd.
Not complaiing that I lost to him what more would have someone done? I admit I made bet. What am I supposed to do? Now would have anybody else played diffrently? Some would while some wouldn't. My personal opinion I will play a top 10 vs a top 10 hand. I'd rather be beat by a top 10 then some rag tag hand.

What is even more interesting though. 3 hands before I moved.. There were 2 hands out of the 3 heads up. I was in the 1st heads up.. A,K(suited) vs QQ's and right after that was JJ's V AA's. Third hand produced nothing. Then I got moved.. so out of 5 hands played I saw 3 hands had 6 top 10 hands. Makes you really wonder how random it really is? But it is acceptable that it can happen.
 
Z

zingbust

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You aint seen nuthin till you've been in my shoes! Lately, whether live poker or online, if I go all in with JJ, opponent has QQ, me QQ, opponent KK, me KK, opponnent AA and I'm not talking about sometimes, I'm talking almost every single time!!!!! The times when it doesn't happen, let's say I have 10 10, and opponent doesn't have JJ, instead he has K J off, what are the odds my hand will hold up, better than 50% right?? WRONGO, not in my case, opponent will pick up a K, J, straight, or flush 85% of the time. (Not talking lately here, I'm talking ever since I've been playing poker, roughly 100,000 hands). Turn it around, I'm the one with overcards against opponents pocket pair and his pocket pair will hold up roughly 60% of the time, which is much closer to normal, but still swayed in favor of my opponent. WHY, I keep asking WHY ME?? But it never quits, just goes on and on and on. I'm sorry, this is making me mad just writing all of this, I really mean it, YOU AINT SEEN NUTHIN!!!
 
C

chicubs1616

Visionary
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Mar 22, 2005
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You aint seen nuthin till you've been in my shoes! Lately, whether live poker or online, if I go all in with JJ, opponent has QQ, me QQ, opponent KK, me KK, opponnent AA and I'm not talking about sometimes, I'm talking almost every single time!!!!! The times when it doesn't happen, let's say I have 10 10, and opponent doesn't have JJ, instead he has K J off, what are the odds my hand will hold up, better than 50% right?? WRONGO, not in my case, opponent will pick up a K, J, straight, or flush 85% of the time. (Not talking lately here, I'm talking ever since I've been playing poker, roughly 100,000 hands). Turn it around, I'm the one with overcards against opponents pocket pair and his pocket pair will hold up roughly 60% of the time, which is much closer to normal, but still swayed in favor of my opponent. WHY, I keep asking WHY ME?? But it never quits, just goes on and on and on. I'm sorry, this is making me mad just writing all of this, I really mean it, YOU AINT SEEN NUTHIN!!!

Hmm...somehow I don't believe any of this...
 
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