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Message: [QUOTE="Dara OKearney, post: 5204873, member: 390655"] One of the things that makes the endgame of satellites so tricky is that in some circumstances you would be safe with double average as you had, and in others you won't be. The latter is a lot more common these days than used to be the case, as people in general play the endgame better and punt less often than used to be the case. It's rarely correct to "lock up" completely just because you have reached the target stack: you should be looking to reduce variance and in particular trying to avoid big pots in marginal spots, but you should still go on trying to maintain your stack by winning your fair share of small pots. One blind steal an orbit (on average) will always get you home in these spots. In situations where players are dropping fast sitting tight will generally be the best strategy, but if the bubble is likely to go on a while you should keep trying to pick up small pots. These situations are always judgement calls, often very tricky ones, and the best player in the world won't get them right all the time. Sometimes the correct decision doesn't work out too: sitting tight might be the smart play 99 times out of 100 but that means there's always that 1 in 100 time the shorties just keep doubling and you get sucked back in when you should have been safe. I can't say for sure in this case whether your strategy was correct or incorrect, but it does seem very probable it was a case of correct strategy just not working out for once. Thanks for your question, and better luck next time! [/QUOTE]

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