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Fold? Cooler? AK
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[QUOTE="LetterRip, post: 6375161, member: 74532"] What hands would your opponent open UTG, 3bet pre and pot jam flop with? 3betting ranges UTG in small stakes are usually nut heavy JJ+, AK, maybe AQ, A5s. You are 60BB effective stacks in a 8 handed game. The question is, would your opponent jam AQ, with a GSD or QQ. If not, or if rarely, then you are either flipping with AK (50% equity), or crushed by AA, KK, JJ (you have 5% equity). Against this shoving range you have 26% equity. If he mixes a few bluffs with AhQh and AdQd then you have 33% equity. So basically your call breaks even or is slightly behind. Your biggest mistake here was calling preflop instead of jamming. If you jam and he calls with AQ, you have him dominated with 70% equity. Or he folds and you win the pot uncontested. Also villain probably folds JJ and maybe QQ, and maybe even AK. This is a huge chunk of equity you could have had for free. Also if you miss the flop with AK are you going to fold to every jam or call every jam? You are going to miss 2/3rds of the time and will again have about 30% equity against their jamming range. Really I think the preflop call was not a good choice here. [/QUOTE]
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