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Message: [QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7170748, member: 397965"] First of all you say, its a mystery bounty tournament, and then it matter, if you are already in the money or not. I will assume, you are not in the money, which mean, the bounties are not yet in play, and then we can basically analyse this as if, it was a cash game hand AKA chip EV. Preflop Yes I think, its fine to call here. Small pairs dont make good 3-betting hands, except when you are so short, that you can rejam, and folding a pair on BTN to a small open would be insanely nitty. Flop I think, checking here is a significant mistake. While you could be behind to a flopped straight or flush, you have a very strong hand, that always have loads of equity, unless you got oversetted, and in that case it just is, what it is. There are loads of worse hands, that can call you here including overpairs with or without a diamond or hands with a single high diamond. You also dont want to give hands like A5 with 5 of diamonds or 22 with 2 of diamonds a free card to spike a small flush on the turn, so a bet here is also for protection against a very obvious draw, which at least one of the opponents is highly likely to have. Even if you get raised, its not the end of the world, since you have 7 outs to fill up on the turn and 10 on the river, so you can easily continue. Turn Since you should have bet the flop, there is no reason to dive deep into the turn decision, but raising now after checking flop looks way stronger than betting flop and then betting turn, so it would go completely against the (flawed) plan, you made on the flop. River This is a great river for you, since you now beat a flopped flush or straight, which SB can absolutely have. Its also pretty likely, he could have a K, that now improved to trips, so as played you absolutely have to raise for value. You only click it back though, and I think, this is leaving a lot of value on the table. If SB is a fish, you can jam to make it look bluffy, and you will still get a hero call from trips or better a lot of the time. If he is a good player, I would not jam, but at least go a bit bigger than this like maybe 22-25BB. Now he 3-bet jam, and I am not thrilled about this, but you cant fold a full house starting with just 60BB. If we look at combos, there is only 1 combo each of K8s, K7s and K4s, and I dont think, he called out of SB with offsuit rag kings. So there are 3 combos of suited KX, which got there on the river, and 6 combos of better sets, that had you beat the whole time. Its also possible, he could be jamming a flush or maybe even a straight for value, since your line looks more like a hand, that backed into trips than a flopped set. And finally he could be misinterpreting your minraise as weak and think, he still has fold equity, and be running a bluff with a hand like the stiff ace of diamonds or a counterfeited 87s. So as played you have to close your eyes and call here. Conclusion I do think, the river situation is a cooler, but I also think, it was a significant mistake to not bet the flop. So while the main purpose of a flop bet is not to get a random pair to fold to avoid losing to a runner-runner boat, you kind of created your own cooler here. If you bet the flop, K7s most likely goes away, and then you dont loose your entire stack on the river. [/QUOTE]

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