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Poker Strategy
Tournament Poker
Tournament Hand Analysis
$7.5 NL HE MTT: Facing a river jam with top two early in a PKO
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[QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6730431, member: 305911"] Everything I agree with through the turn so I will skip those streets although I would say that I think you can go bigger on the turn if want since its a double suited board and the 1010, 99 hands that call flop are probably giving up on turn. I think their decision is a bit more binary since they arent floating too many, if any, hands two streets that isnt a decent hand or Ax so you could milk a little more but that is splitting hairs. On the river I think there are merits to both betting and checking since each one is targeting a different group. Checking is targeting busted draws while betting is attacking all the Ax that villain has. In these spots I tend to check which is a mistake at times when villains check their A8 behind so I think I like betting here. I dont think villain has too many sets since I think those could/would call flop but then on the turn they would/should be raising with the double suited board. We also block two sets with AK and any AA, KK, or JJ (at least I think JJ would) probably 3 bets pre. Therefore I think sets are minimal here as they are only 22 and 55 and just dont see those flat calling turn especially on this board. That leaves only Q10 (34 really shouldnt be there) to be anything concerned with and calling with that hand seems bad on turn although Q10 diamonds or hearts could call that and they backed in. However, I am not concerned with that as there are AJ and more likely KJ that could be doing this on river. 125 BBs is a lot to get in with any hand that isnt the nuts but I think top two here is enough based on how the hand was played and there still could be bluffs too. This is a bounty tournament, too, where they have you covered so they are more likely to jam river with two pair hands where in other scenarios they may not. I think I would call this and of course could be beat but I'm leaning call it off. [/QUOTE]
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$7.5 NL HE MTT: Facing a river jam with top two early in a PKO
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