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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$6.60 NL HE MTT: near ITM good or bad call?
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[QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6930994, member: 305911"] Super late getting to this one so I apologize but wanted to comment since I enjoy your posts and also the hands you are involved in. A lot has been said about pre which I highly agree with that this is an easy fold. I did not see it mentioned above (forgive me if it was) but another reason why we should not be calling here is BB has a jam stack. We can not take any pressure pre flop here with Q6 and BB, assuming they have a pulse, should be jamming here maybe a little wider than normal since there is now potential dead money with the call plus it was table chip leader opening which should be/could be opening a bit wider than normal. BB would not be jamming so wide, though, that we could call with Q6 nor is the opener opening wide enough to call with Q6 so this is a very easy fold pre. Flop is a top pair flop but as mentioned above we still cant be too thrilled with our hand. its an obvious call as played but we should not be fist pumping here by any means. Turn we face a large bet and pick up a draw which is not nut of course but better than nothing. The large bet here would actually make me think villain could be weaker but then again it could mean they want to setup a river jam that is at least close to pot (which was the case). I think as played its very hard to fold here but by now with all the posts above, we know we shouldnt be here. Its a call though and if I were in this spot somehow I would be praying for a check to me on the river yet I know going in I would not get one. River: its an overbet jam that really is polar given the dynamics and timing of the tournament. Bluffs are there and could do this and big hands do this. I would not be so sure that a hand like KQ would do this though... Not sure what villain would do here with their Qx . I agree with Fundiver above that the Q9 and Q8 are rare, I do think there could be Q10 but does Q10 bet the river like this? Im not sure but I dont think so. When we face this bet Im just puking if I got here somehow. I do think if you got this far you have to call but you should have never been here. You had a 40 BB stack that you cant say you punted but you can say you wasted. This hand, imo, is a pretty big leak and one that can cost you significant amounts of money if not fixed. [/QUOTE]
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$6.60 NL HE MTT: near ITM good or bad call?
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