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Poker Strategy
Tournament Poker
Tournament Hand Analysis
$50 NL HE MTT: 3 bet pot OOP, marginal bluff catcher
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6670670, member: 397965"] Preflop Seems like a fine spot to 3-bet. Its worth noting, that its not the original raiser, who call you, so we are looking at, whats called a dubble flat. The implication of that is, the opponent usually has a very capped range. Flop I agree that this spot is sort of tricky, so just for fun I decided to "ask the solver" in the form of GTO Wizard. GTO Wizard use a larger 3-bet sizing than yours, and it does not have A8s in its range. So the closest, we can get, is A5s. Perhaps though the more important result is, that the solver bets 99,4% of its range. So basically this is a 100% C-bet spot according to the solver. And going back to "old-school" analysis, I think, betting makes the hand easier to play. With a middling pair we cant take a lot of heat over multible streets, so its not a bad outcome to make a worse hand fold right now and take it down. As played you obviously has to call. Turn As played I guess, you have to call again. The solver can not help any more, since you deviated both preflop and on the flop. River Now there is a 1-liner to a straight, and you obviously only beat a bluff. However you have sort of only been beating a bluff the whole time. And actually several factors make this seem like a decent spot to try to catch a bluff. Yeah he could have backed into it with a hand like 77 or A7s, but he is probably not valuebetting a Q any more or even a set. So his value range have gotten thinner, and you dont block the busted flushdraw. Finally we have to expect, that obviously scary runouts like this will be bluffed at least some percentage of the time. So all in all I do lean towards a call here as played. But maybe its more important to take note of the fact, the solver C-bet this board 100% of the time. [/QUOTE]
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$50 NL HE MTT: 3 bet pot OOP, marginal bluff catcher
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