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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$5 NL HE MTT: BBK4s
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7136305, member: 397965"] Preflop K4s is a standard defend to a small raise from any position. Flop Top pair no kicker is a standard defend to a small c-bet. Turn Here the hand become interesting, because the flushdraw complete, and he size up significantly. At this point your hand is only a bluffcatcher. On the flop he can be C-betting a lot of in between hands like 99-QQ, 8X, AJ-AQ. But with this turn bet those hands are no longer in his range. He either has at least top pair better kicker for value, or he is purely bluffing for instance with the naked ace of spades. You dont have a spade in your hand, so you dont have any backdoor equity, where you could end up sucking out on better made hands with no spade. And for that reason I think, I fold here. I know, it feels tight, because you have top pair. But you lose to top pair, so other than blocking some hands like AK, KQ and KJ, that might bet for value, there is not much difference between having K4 or 43. River Yeah I think, you need to fold here. At these stakes a river overbet is usually strongly skewed towards value. You need to be good like 40% of the time, and I think, you are more likely good 10% of the time if even that often. This is essentially a microstakes game, even though most poker sites still classify it is "low stakes", and people in these games just dont bluff that much with a line like this. At least not without some specific read on this player. [/QUOTE]
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$5 NL HE MTT: BBK4s
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