$5 NL HE MTT: AQS?

primrose

primrose

Visionary
Bronze Level
Joined
Mar 29, 2024
Total posts
645
Chips
374
I don't think he's going all-in there with AJ or KQ, so you're probably not ahead; you're slightly behind against a pair, dominated by some premiums. I would also fold.
 
F

fundiver199

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Jun 3, 2019
Total posts
15,590
Awards
2
Chips
821
It is a very big jam, so you need almost 44% equity to just break even in chip EV, assuming that the two other guys fold. There is some argument, that he might be on a capped range, since KK+ would want to 3-bet small to get more action. But even so if its always AK or a pair, you can not make a profitable call. It would be nice to know something about this opponent like having HUD-stats showing a high PFR and high 3-bet percentage. Its apparently not a bounty tournament, so there is no extra reward for knocking him out. Without info I would tend to fold here, so I dont think, its to tight.
 
G

Geo90

Rock Star
Platinum Level
Joined
Feb 11, 2025
Total posts
260
HU
Chips
230
I don't think he's going all-in there with AJ or KQ, so you're probably not ahead; you're slightly behind against a pair, dominated by some premiums. I would also fold.
thanks, I have enough chips left to keep going, but I was curious what he was doing
 
G

Geo90

Rock Star
Platinum Level
Joined
Feb 11, 2025
Total posts
260
HU
Chips
230
It is a very big jam, so you need almost 44% equity to just break even in chip EV, assuming that the two other guys fold. There is some argument, that he might be on a capped range, since KK+ would want to 3-bet small to get more action. But even so if its always AK or a pair, you can not make a profitable call. It would be nice to know something about this opponent like having HUD-stats showing a high PFR and high 3-bet percentage. Its apparently not a bounty tournament, so there is no extra reward for knocking him out. Without info I would tend to fold here, so I dont think, its to tight.
Maybe in the future I'll get some software, I've got quite a lot of hands, it was just a tournament now, I can only rely on the basic stats but I can't see them at this time
 
Top