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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$5.50 NL HE MTT: AQo in UTG
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7144007, member: 397965"] Preflop Open raising to 3BB is fairly large sizing with so many short stacks at the table. Personally I would go with 2,5BB, when you are <50BB deep against 6 out of 7 opponents. Flop I am not loving this C-bet. Its a multiway pot, and you are monkey in the middle, which is bad enough already, but the biggest issue is COs stack size. If he gives action, he only has a pot sized bet left, which mean, you have no room to maneuver on the turn and river against him. And he could also easily decide to simply go with his hand and jam over your C-bet. If he has for instance QJ or A4 of diamonds, he should absolutly be jamming this flop, which will force you to fold the best hand. Check and hope, he checks behind. Make a decision, if he bet, depending on his sizing and what BB does. Turn I dont like this bet either. He is never folding a made hand, when the top card pairs, because that makes it less likely, you have it. And if he have trips himself, he is 100% not folding, and he might jam to protect against draws. Check and hope, he checks behind or bet something silly like 1BB, which you can call. River First decision is, if you want to jam as a bluff. And for me the answer is no. Backdoor flush came in, and you block it, which is good. But there is only a 1/3 pot sized bet left, so I dont think, he is always folding a T, and he is certainly not folding a K. This is the stack size issue, I talked about under flop play. Next decision point is, if you want to call as a bluff catch. And I think, the answer to that is also no. You are getting a price here and only need to be good 20% of the time not even taking the bounty into account. But because you are getting such a good price, I dont think, busted draws are always bluffing. You also block QJo, which would be one of the most logical bluffs, and this is more important than blocking backdoor flushes, since most of his value range is going to be trips or boats. Conclusion For me the most important point of this hand is to avoid building up a pot with hands, you dont want to commit with, when the effective stack is only around 20BB. [/QUOTE]
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$5.50 NL HE MTT: AQo in UTG
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