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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$3 NL HE MTT: 99 in BB
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6680820, member: 397965"] Preflop When we are deep like this, I also prefer to just call with 99 and see a flop. You are not getting much fold equity by 3-betting, because he is getting the right implied odds to call you in position. And what is the plan, if we get 4-bet? I am not excited about calling a 4-bet out of position with 99, and if we 3-bet and then fold to a 4-bet, we are taking a very good hand and turning it into napkins. Flop I agree with feisas7991, that there is a case for check-raising the flop for value and protection. Most people are C-betting low boards to wide, and by check-calling you are allowing all his broadways to get a free card to draw out on you. Turn Other than A of diamonds this is the worst possible turn card, because it improved a lot of his C-betting range. And when he has top pair, you are now behind and drawing to two outs. And if you call now, you might face another big bet on the river, which you cant really call. So as played the best line is to cut your losses and get out now. The average microstakes opponent is not bluffing here often enough, and he is also not betting anything worse than 99 for value. River Now there is yet another overcard to your 99, and the flushdraw got there as well. You do block some flush combos with 9d, which is good. But even so the average microstakes opponent is not finding nearly enough bluffs, especially since the main draw got there. I guess, he could potentially have a hand like 86s, which is a busted straightdraw. But there are only 3 combos of that, and there are a ton of combos of flushes, sets, two pair and perhaps even still top pair, if he goes for thin value. So calling is out of the question in my opinion. If you want to try something a bit fancy, you could check-raise and turn your hand into a bluff basically representing, that you rivered a flush. I would not expect that to be particularly profitable early in a 3$ MTT though. I think, there is a high risk, he just beat you into the pot with his AJ or AQ, and then you just wasted a big percentage of your stack trying to do something fancy, which went right over his head. In the micros FPS (Fancy Play Syndrom) is usually a great way to set money on fire and tilt yourself. So if I got this far, I just fold and cut my losses. [/QUOTE]
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$3 NL HE MTT: 99 in BB
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