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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$3,30 NL HE MTT: How to handle excessive blind protection
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6496874, member: 397965"] As I said many times, ICMizer is an ideal tool to study push-fold spots like. Its $99 + VAT for a years subscription, or you can take advantage of the one daily calculation, they give everyone for free. I plugged your hand in selecting, that this was a 450-man "big" with 225 players left. That seem pretty fair, since the average stack of your table was around 10k chips, which is twice the starting stack. Assuming that BB play a pure push or fold strategy, these are the NASH equilibrium ranges for a 2,5BB Hero open and a BB shove: * Hero is opening 43% of hands, which is basically anything remotely decent. 22, K3o and 98s are some of the best hands, that are folded. * Villian is jamming 34% of hands, which is any pair, any ace, all broadways, most suited hands except those with a very low card and even some offsuit connectors like T9o and T8o. * Hero is calling 17% of hands, which is 44+, A7+, A4s+, KJ+, KTs, QJs Calling with AQs is +0,14% of the price pool for Hero, and by comparison calling AA is +0,33% of the price pool. So as everyone have said, this is just not a hand, we can fold, and the decision is not close. I will say though, that most people have a calling range in BB, so we should not take the NASH ranges as gospel, and against most microstakes opponents we should call less than 17% of hands. But the hands, we can select to fold, are hands like the worst aces, the worst pairs and the broadways. A reasonable adjusted calling range could be 77+, AT+. In order to call any tigher than this, we need strong information from HUD-data, that this particular player is basically almost never 3-betting. Without such information we cant fold like 90% of our opening range, because that will allow every single regular to completely run us over. [/QUOTE]
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$3,30 NL HE MTT: How to handle excessive blind protection
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