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Tournament Hand Analysis
$2 NL HE MTT: Good bluff??
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7163044, member: 397965"] Preflop Standard open. Flop You have multible backdoor draws and an overcard, so this is not a complete miss. I think, all options are open here other than checking and folding to a small bet. If the opponent is overly aggressive, you could go for a check-raise, but if he is on the passive size and will rarely raise as a bluff, C-betting is probably the best option. Turn You picked up equity, so this is pretty much a mandatory barrel, but your sizing is to small. It looks like, you are block betting and trying to see the river for cheap rather than make him fold. I would bet 2.500-3.000 here to set it up for a less than pot sized river jam. River Sometimes A high has to much showdown value to bluff, but on this runout I dont think, he have many unpaired hands, and you even lose to some of them like a dubble float with AQ or AT. You also block straights and unblock backdoor clubs, so I think, this hand is a fine bluffing candidate. I dont think, overbet jamming is the best sizing though. Compared to betting 60% pot or around 4.000 chips this need to work 2½ times as often, and in a $2 MTT I dont think, it will. Especially not when he has you covered, since you are not putting his tournament life at risk. I would not be trying to make a random unknown in a $2 MTT fold top pair or better. So my purpose of bluffing here is to get all his pair+ missed gutshot kind of hands to fold. His 87s, 65s and so on and so forth. Something like 60% pot should accomplish that goal. If it does not, because he is a total calling station, then I dont want to bluff him at all but only bet for value. It sounds like you jammed, because you did not want to bet-fold, and this makes no sense at all, since the whole reason to bluff is, we dont think, we have the best hand. The hands, that dont want to get raised, are thin value bets like maybe JT, not bluffs. [/QUOTE]
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$2 NL HE MTT: Good bluff??
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