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Tournament Hand Analysis
$2.2 NL HE MTT:
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6698619, member: 397965"] Hand 1 and 4 are preflop push-fold spots, so I plugged them into ICMizer to analyse, what your range should be. Hand 1 This spot is pretty weird, because CO min-raised with 6,4BB effective. ICMizer always assumes, that people are playing a balanced game, so when someone does that, the program will assume, you have fold equity when jamming over his min-raise. This also mean, that it assign CO a very snug range of just 7,8% of hands. With these assumptions you can jam QQ+, AJ+. Its noteworthy, that AJ is preferred over JJ, and this must be because, its very important to block the calling range, which is mostly AX. However given the hand, he actually decided to open and not fold to a jam, this was clearly a recreational player, and the ranges assigned to him by ICMizer are completely off. Instead we need to give him a range of something like 60% of hands, of which he then wont fold anything, when you jam on him. And with these assumptions your jamming range actually becomes even narrower. Now its only QQ+, and this is basically because, if you get it in and lose, you bubble. Whereas if you fold, you still have a decent chance, that someone else will bubble. Its also interesting to look at, what your range would be, if he had open jammed, as he definitely should. Now the NASH equilibrium is him jamming any two cards, but even then you can only call with JJ+. So to sum it up this was an ICM-punt. You need to have the patience to continue folding here, even you only have 4BB left, and basically hope this goofball busts someone else or lose his chips and bust himself. Hand 2 The NASH equilibrium is UTG jamming a range of 77+, AT+, KQ, A2s+, KTs+, QJs and Hero calling with a range of QQ+, AKs. So Heros calling range is in fact extremely tight due to the two shorter stacks behind, but QQ was still a correct call. [/QUOTE]
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