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Message: [QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7176506, member: 397965"] If I had C-bet the flop with a draw and gotten action, I would typically check this card, because its obviously bad for draws, when the board pair, and if the opponent just turned trips, he might check-raise. However here its a donk bet on the flop, and then the opponent check the turn, and for me thats a very different situation. I think, the frequency of him checking trips after donking top pair on the flop is very low, especially on a board with many draws. So apart from some slowplayed boats (44, QJ or Q4), I think, his range consist mainly of draws or weak made hands like a J or worse. And while a J is probably not folding to one bet, maybe its folding to two bets, and everything else is likely to fold out. I will even discount boats somewhat, because I think, two pair or a set would want to put more chips in on the flop, either by check-raising or by making a big donk bet like close to full pot rather than just 30% pot. So I think, the risk of him having something better than a J here is fairly small, and for that reason I think, its an ok spot to bluff. If the donk bet had been half pot or more, I would definitly just fold on the flop. It just feels really weak to fold to such a small donk bet. There is also the issue, that when we raise and get action, we are building up a big pot, and we prefer to do that with hands, that are happy to play a big pot on at least some runouts. And this hand does not qualify for that, because even if it binks the perfect runout, its still only the third best straight. Even having a hand like K9 would be better, because then at least we make the second best straight, and we can also improve to top pair on a K, which is a lot better than improving to third pair. [/QUOTE]

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