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Tournament Hand Analysis
$2.10 NL HE MTT: Bet the Turn?
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7176472, member: 397965"] Preflop This is probably the worst suited connector, I would open from LJ. Flop You flopped a gutshot, but as draws go, they dont come much worse than this, because if you make a straight, AK and K9 will have a better straight. Maybe you dont need to worry to much about AK, since he just called preflop, but he can have K9, and you can have AK, so if nothing else a T will slow him down, if he can hand read at all. Its also a 2-tone board, so sometimes you will make a straight but lose to a flush. And of course you have undercards to the board, so unlike AK, which is also a gutshot, you can not make top pair, and you are behind to the majority of his draws. You are getting a good price of 4:1, but your hand is so bad, that I think, its needs fold equity to continue profitably. Which mean, that either you can raise right now, or you can go for the float play, which mean calling in position and then almost always betting the turn, if he check. In order to raise I would prefer to have a little more going on like even just a BDFD with 9c8c. So I am ok making a float play here, and I would also be ok with just making a tight fold. In general we do not want to fold to small donk bets, but this is literally one of the worst hands, you can possibly have after opening from LJ. Turn The plan to bet the turn if checked to should have been made already on the flop. If you get check-raised, its not like, its a disaster to have to fold a hand this bad. The hands, that might want to check back to not reopen the betting, would be strong draws like AsKs or KsTs. River If you wake up with a raise now, you represent nothing, and of course you can not call with 9 high, so as played an easy fold. [/QUOTE]
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$2.10 NL HE MTT: Bet the Turn?
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