Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="Andyreas, post: 6612727, member: 491394"] Interesting hand! Let's use your assumptions on his range and verify each of your actions: Preflop: Generally: Easy defend against UTG with suited connectors. In detail: If we look at the numbers. You have around 30% equity against this tight range, so also mathematically a profitable call for you: [ATTACH type="full" alt="Screenshot_2023-03-01-13-20-31-18_cbf47468f7ecfbd8ebcc46bf9cc626da.jpg"]325681[/ATTACH] Flop: You hit bottom pair but the suits aren't in your favour. He can also have some strong flush or straight draws here. So definitely agree on your check decision. In detail: Your equity slightly increased to 38%, so you can call his bet of half pot again here. [ATTACH type="full" alt="Screenshot_2023-03-01-13-23-25-45_cbf47468f7ecfbd8ebcc46bf9cc626da.jpg"]325682[/ATTACH] Turn: Obviously not a great card for you. In detail, it crushed you equity since all hands in his range currently beat you. Your equity goes down to 6%, so definitely not going to bet here and you'd have to fold to any reasonable bet. [ATTACH type="full" alt="Screenshot_2023-03-01-13-26-48-98_cbf47468f7ecfbd8ebcc46bf9cc626da.jpg"]325683[/ATTACH] River: Luckily he checked back on turn and as you say, a good card for you but also not the best one. 😅 As you already figured, leading here isn't great since he has position and still has many hands in his range that beat you. So I'd check and see if he bet and how big. Equity wise it's 50/50: so you could call anything less than full pot profitably and a full pot bet is a neutral EV action. Since he raised, it's a complicated decision here since you're risking half of your stack and I'd assume he is only raising with a hand that beats you, so I'd fold here. [ATTACH type="full" alt="Screenshot_2023-03-01-13-29-56-72_cbf47468f7ecfbd8ebcc46bf9cc626da.jpg"]325684[/ATTACH] Interesting analysis and ofc no chance to do this analysis in real time but I like these exercises. ☺️ [/QUOTE]

Verification

Search

Reply to thread

About CardsChat

Our Community

Our Site

Follow us