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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$150 NL HE MTT: GGMasters Day 1
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[QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6611275, member: 305911"] Pre flop: I get the point made by Eetoner above but I am opening this on this deep a stack in Hijack unless there are a lot of 3 bettors behind me. I want to see a flop with this hand for the set value. There are some pretty strong reverse implied odds when it is set over set which can happen with 22 but I still think its an open. I am also not playing the hand to get to showdown either but more like gambling super deep to hit a set and if I dont then being done with it. Flop: Its villain dependent to bet here or not imo. If you know they fold to c bets a lot then go ahead and see if you can take it but read less or with a knowledge of villain isnt a folder I am checking back here and taking a free shot at another set card. I also think if we are going to bluff this hand it might be ore effective to do a delayed c bet bluff than to bluff the flop where more players will float compared to the turn. As played we bet and get a mini raise which not playing $150 buy ins ever not sure what that means in rarified air f buy ins but I would think this is a raise they want you to call and are making it easy with pot odds. In facing this bet I would already feel screwed and would think I need a 2 to win and the odds arent there for that so I think best move is to fold here, make the note and see if villain does this again to us or others. Calling given the price isnt bad but I think you are drawing thin. Turn: Pretty big bet by villain which would normally make me think why would they want me to fold here with such a big sizing but I think what is happening is now villain hopes we have a pair and cant fold it. I still think you are beat here and now its definitely a fold. If you call this then you will face river card over a 2 (unless you bink one) and then you have to think either that card helped villain or that if not then you thought you were good on turn (since you called) that you are good on river too and will most likely have to call another big bet. Just a lot better to jump ship now on this. Hand plays a lot differently if you check flop as you can call turn (especially with another 10 coming) and then see what river brings and you would be in position. [/QUOTE]
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$150 NL HE MTT: GGMasters Day 1
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