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Poker Strategy
Tournament Poker
Tournament Hand Analysis
$15 NL HE MTT: QJo in multy-way play | Mystery bounty
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7163984, member: 397965"] In my opinion yes. Only strong made hands and good draws take this sizing. And since he cant have a draw, then by the method of exclusion it has to be a strong made hand. If we use any sort of logic at all, we need to put him on a range of 33, 66, JJ+, KJ, AJ, because nothing else make sense. If he has any hand other than those, he is making a massive mistake by betting so large on the flop. And while it is of course possible, that people are really bad at poker and make massive mistakes, its not my default assumption, when someone has a reasonable VPIP and is playing a $15 tournament. Of course it can be argued, that if this is his range, then he is very unbalanced, which is also not "good poker". But I am more willing to believe, that he dont care about being balanced, because he think, he can get paid off anyway. Which in fact he did. Now that being said, I am not blaming OP for calling on the flop. In real time I would likely also have called. But analysing the hand away from the table, I feel quite strongly, that its a losing call, because Hero is never ahead, and he is not getting the odds needed to draw to 3 or 5 outs. And the turn call is a significant mistake, as most people seem to agree. [/QUOTE]
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$15 NL HE MTT: QJo in multy-way play | Mystery bounty
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