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Message: [QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6691005, member: 397965"] In a normal pot, when we rejam a hand like AQo and get a fold, our equity goes from maybe 55% to 100%, which is a 45% gain. In this situation however it goes from something like 35 % to 55%, which is only a 20% gain. The numbers will of course behind on the exact range, we put our opponents on, but getting a fold is never as valuable in a protected pot (someone already all-in), as it is in a normal pot. I dont think, AQ is way ahead of MPs range. Maybe it has 55-60% equity, and thats not something, I would consider "way ahead". With a stack this big chip preservation is more important than chip accumulation. Especially considering, that if we jam and get a fold, the most, we can win, is around 15BB. But if we get called, we can lose more than 30BB, which is a significant chunk of our stack. Given that its late in a 15$ MTT, our default assumption has to be, that this is someone, who is at least somewhat competent. The most crazy fish and gamblers are usually long gone at this point. And there are also less of them to begin with in a 15$ MTT as opposed to a micro game or a freeroll. If my experience if someone bet into a dry sidepot, and we fold, its extremely rare, that we were not way behind and making a correct laydown. So if anything a protected pot is much easier to play out of position than a regular pot. Also if he did actually bluff, then we know, he is a total donk. So we get valuable information and can take a note on him, which we can use in future hands. Sure. We cant bluff effectively, just like MP+1 cant bluff effectively. So whoever makes the best hand is going to win the pot. But this is not a problem, if we think, we have enough equity 3-ways to make a profitable call. But neither can MP+1, which actually takes away all his positional advantage. Once again he will, unless he has us beat or is a total donkey. Which is unlikely late in a 15$ MTT. Folding here is fine, since its a marginal spot to begin with. But jamming is way worse than calling. Actually MP+1 is supposed to fold AK, when Hero jam, so by jamming Hero is completely turning his hand into a bluff. And why bluff, if the whole reason to get involved was, that we think, the hand is to good to fold? [/QUOTE]

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