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Tournament Hand Analysis
$14.70 + 1.80 NL HE MTT: Easy fold?? - Overpair (BU) vs UTG+1 and BB on an unfavorable flop
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[QUOTE="dallam, post: 6479395, member: 338743"] There are some dark horses in the story. First of all I found it weird to see a half-pot bet on flop as first to act. It could not be more opened party, it could hit UTG or even you for sure, minimum one of you, so it has to be an early value-bet. The fact that UTG put a min-3bet - either slowing down or controlling the action. flop: BB: AQs(?) A10s, A7s, KQs, KJs, 10J(s), 67s, 88, 99, 1010, JJ, 77(?), 109s, 89s, J9s, J8s UTG: AJ(s), KQs, JQs, A10s, A7s, 1010, 99, 88 I think your over-pair at this point has to be weak, and probably won't hold on 2 more streets, even it was impossible that pre any of the two were leading, AKs, AA, KK would go and make a 4bet on you pre. So according their stacks, I would put one of them on set, which is beating us. turn: Definitely a hard turn for both of them,if not JQs(UTG) then A7s(BB-UTG) and 77(BB) get there, not suprised on the check- small bet. (I still think here one of them has a set) river: BB goes all-in here. As you did have two Q's (one of them heart) BB only could have AcQc. KQ is in the game too ~ Other hands became bluffs here. UTG: No seven, No Queen, No set - with set should be pot commited, catching the 2 living combinations from BB's ~15 option pre. At this point it has to be AJ / A10s. So as we had an option to see the river, you were ahead of UTG, but not sure if were ahead of BB as well. As I said, BB had AcQc / KQ / A7s or 77 (but you beat them now), or sets turned to be bluff, J(10 / 9s /8s) turned to be a bluff. Very hard hand, but if you are not sure in your hand, and what to do next, its always the safe way to fold, and you did it great, even if its painfull like here it was. Good luck. :) [/QUOTE]
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$14.70 + 1.80 NL HE MTT: Easy fold?? - Overpair (BU) vs UTG+1 and BB on an unfavorable flop
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