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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$11 NL HE MTT: Bad play or simply unlucky?
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[QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6795169, member: 305911"] I think we can jam this based on this stack but what deters me from jamming here is that this is an UTG open from a player that we do not think is loose and may be as you mentioned on the tight side (I think what you meant). Therefore, I think I just call here as I dont like 3 betting to an amount other than jamming. It will be a little tough to play but we do have position and we have a hand that is not completely flop dependent to float. TT is a high enough pair that it does have showdown value. I dont think you are that wrong if you jam or just call here. Change a few variables such as this is MP or CO opening or we have 18 BBs instead of 24 and then I would be on the jamming train. Flop: One over and 2 diamonds which is not ideal of course but its not a bad flop either. We do have a diamond which helps and the overcard is not an ace although I would prefer it to be a J instead of a K. With the sizing we face, having a backdoor and also only one overcard I think you should be calling this but we cant forget about the BB still to act. Turn: Another K is nice since its less likely they have one but I think Eetoner makes a great point here. Multi way pot and they bet the sizing they do with another K coming. This could be some hand trying to get to a cheap showdown and they believe betting smaller is cheaper than checking to you and letting you fire away or BB leading large on river, it could be they really liked the K and dont want anyone to fold or they could be trying to price themselves into a draw. We would be thinking that Kx would be larger to protect against the flush draw especially with two opponents. In our spot I am thinking that with villain UTG opening and betting twice (by the time we act on turn) and BB already calling flop that we are behind here (that doesnt necessarily mean its from Kx and UTG could have JJ or QQ) so I dont think I would call and I dont see the chip depth room the bluff either along with some Kx that we would have would raise flop some of the time based on the diamonds and with another K its less believable so I think I snug fold turn and not really sure that is correct. This is a weird spot to be put post flop and it almost feels like villain has put us on the hand that we have. [/QUOTE]
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$11 NL HE MTT: Bad play or simply unlucky?
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