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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$109 NL HE MTT: 109$
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7182279, member: 397965"] [B]Hand1 ATs[/B] Preflop Standard defend. I would not 3-bet here, because its an UTG open, and it would really suck to get 4-bet. Flop The issue with leading out here is, that you more or less force especially UTG to have a real hand, when he continue, and then AT kind of shrink and dont play all that well on the later streets. Its easy to think of this situation as "LOL I have TPTK", but having TPTK on Txx is not the same as having it on Axx or Kxx. By the time, you get to the river, your pair is often degraded to second or sometimes even third pair, or some obvious draw has completed. So its better to think of the situation as "I have a medium pair", and the goal with a medium pair is usually to get to a relatively cheap showdown. Which obviously you do not achieve by coming out swinging on the flop like this. Your hand does need some protection, but if you check, its pretty likely, that you will get at least part of that protection anyway by one of the opponents betting and the other folding. And then you are in a better situation on the turn, because now you are against a range, that contain bluffs, and you do not look weak by checking again. Turn Its pretty unlikely, he called you on the flop with bottom pair, so this is a good card for you. But even so you need to think about, what worse hands you will get called by, if you bet again? He opened UTG, so if he has a worse TX, its probably only KTs, QTs and JTs, and his range also contain all the overpairs. He could have a flushdraw, but its getting pretty thin already to bet for value, and this is why, I am not a big fan of leading the flop and condensing his range so much. River I definitely think, you have run out of value now, and I also think, your hand is degraded to a bluff catcher, when he make a big river bet. The flushdraw missed, but if thats his only bluff, there are not enough bluff combos compared to the possible value combos, that beat you including JJ+, KTs and KX with the flushdraw. So as played I do agree with your decision to check-fold. [B]Hand 2 76s[/B] Preflop Opening is fine but especially with a short stack like this I would fold to his 3-bet. Flop As played you have to call at least one bet, when you flop a pair. All his broadways missed. Turn No reason to lead with this hand, and we are happy, he checked back. River I think, he could be pot controlling an overpair on the turn, now that the flushdraw completed, and you beat those hands now, so its fine to go for some thin value. I also like your sizing, because it does not look like, you have committed yourself to the pot, so he could potentially think, he has enough room to come over the top and bluff. When he raise, its easy to say, that a river raise is always the nuts, and you should fold. But if you look closer at the situation, its pretty weird for him to have a hand, that check back the turn and then wants to raise the river for value. Its pretty much only some kind of slowplay, as in fact it was. But he can also have a lot of hands like AK or AQ with a flush blocker and decide to bluff the river. Reads on the opponent are important here, but in a $109 MTT I dont mind your call without any such specific reads. So while I did not love your preflop call, I think, postflop is fine and mostly just one of those annoying spots, where the opponent slowplay, and it works for him, because it allow us to catch up. [/QUOTE]
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$109 NL HE MTT: 109$
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