Forum
CardsChat Freerolls
Best Online Poker Sites
US Online Poker
Delaware Online Poker
Michigan Online Poker
Nevada Online Poker
New Jersey Online Poker
Pennsylvania Online Poker
Canada Online Poker
UK Online Poker
Australia Online Poker
India Online Poker
Ireland Online Poker
New Zealand Online Poker
Best Freerolls
Best Poker Bonuses
Best Mobile Poker Sites & Poker Apps
Poker Site Reviews
888poker
Betfair
GGpoker
PartyPoker
PokerStars
Unibet
Poker
Free Online Poker Game
Poker Strategy & Rules
30 Day Poker School
Texas Hold'em Starting Hands
Poker Games
Odds for Dummies
10 Tips for Winning Online
How Much Money Can You Make Playing Poker?
How To Play Poker
Texas Hold'em
Omaha
Omaha Hi-Lo
Badugi
Open Faced Chinese
Video Poker
Poker Hands
Tools
Poker Hands Converter
Poker Odds Calculator
Organise a Home Game
Poker Glossary
Tournaments
WSOP
WSOP Winners
WSOP History
WSOP Events
WSOP News
European Poker Tour
Best Poker Players
Poker News
Podcast
Best Online Casinos
US Online Casinos
Connecticut Online Casinos
Michigan Online Casinos
New Jersey Online Casinos
Pennsylvania Online Casinos
West Virginia Online Casinos
Canada Online Casinos
UK Online Casinos
Australia Online Casinos
India Online Casinos
Ireland Online Casinos
New Zealand Online Casinos
Real Money Casinos
Blackjack Online Casinos
Roulette Online Casinos
Baccarat Online Casinos
Best Mobile Casinos & Apps
Best Casino Bonuses
Best Payouts
No Deposit Casinos
Free Spins
Casino Site Reviews
Betway
Casumo
JackpotCity Casino
PokerStars Casino
Ruby Fortune
Spin Casino
Casino
Free Online Casino Games
Slots
Best Online Sites
How to Play Slots
Slots Software Reviews
Real Money Gambling
US Online Gambling
Canada Online Gambling
UK Online Gambling
Australia Online Gambling
New Zealand Online Gambling
India Online Gambling
Ireland Online Gambling
Casino News
Awards
Search forums
News
Poker News
Tournament News
Casino News
Legal
Scandals
Opinion
Podcast
Log in
Join
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
Log in
Register
Search
Install the app
Install
Forum
Poker Strategy
Tournament Poker
Tournament Hand Analysis
$100 NL HE MTT: Live tournament bubble hand
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7148710, member: 397965"] Preflop I understand, what you are trying to do here, but jumping right to the results, I think, both you and kdmeteor miss one of the issues with bad hands, which is, that they always offer reverse implied odds, especially when stacks are kind of deep. Of course 50-60BB is not really deep, but for a tournament on the bubble its very deep. The reverse implied odds comes from the fact, that even when bad hands hit the board hard, they have far more risk of being at the bad end of a cooler. They make bottom two pair, they make trips with a bad kicker, they make a bad straight, they make a bad flush. So I would just fold here, and then of course the rest of hand would not have happened. Flop I will trust kdmeteor here, that the sizing is probably a sign of strength in a live game (not so much online), and in that case its definitely just a call. And we should also be thinking already about the fact, that we might not always want to play for stacks, since the Stack to Pot ratio is at least 8, and this being the bubble the Villain is likely not stacking off a single pair for 60BB. Turn When he donk out on the flop and check turn, it looks a lot like, he has a flushdraw, so I would definitely bet here for value. However when he check-jam, I think, you need to find a fold. I agree with kdmeteor, that its highly unlikely, he takes such a "fancy" line with a flushdraw, and I also dont think, this is ever a worse made hand than yours. From the way, you describe your thought process, I think, you are getting way to caught up with the idea of blockers. Yes you do somewhat significantly block sets, but you only block 1/3 of the combos of A4 and A9, and you dont block A8. So there are still 1+1+ 6+6 (+9) = 14 (23) logical combos of value, that you lose to. I put A8 in brackets, because maybe he dont always donk out big on the flop with that hand. And if these strong made hands are the ones, that are most consistent with his action, then its highly likely, he has one of them. It reminds me of something, Joe Stableton once said on the TV poker show "Big Game": "I dont think, Phil (Helmuth) has a feeling, he (Donni Stern) is bluffing, I think, he WANTS him to be bluffing". In this hand it seems like, you WANTED your opponent to be on a draw, and for that reason you were looking for ways to justify, that he was probably on a draw rather than looking objectively at the situation. Hand starts at 12:00. [MEDIA=youtube]Kdd9F5Ksqns[/MEDIA] [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Forum
Poker Strategy
Tournament Poker
Tournament Hand Analysis
$100 NL HE MTT: Live tournament bubble hand
Top