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€100+10 NL HE MTT: Should you bet this Turn?
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[QUOTE="primrose, post: 7128734, member: 1036998"] I think betting larger is incorrect both before the flop and on the flop. The main reason is that whatever you want to achieve with a larger bet, you most likely already achieve with a small bet. I didn't write down stack sizes of the blinds for this hand (my stack was 60k), but they were probably around 20k. Betting 2200 may look small in relation to the pot, but it's actually a big deal for most people to call. I think betting really small is one of the powerful exploits in late-stage live tournament poker that you should just use all time. (Granted I was pushing it a bit with the 2200 sizing -- which is the kind of thing I do, like I tend to push things and see with how much exploit you can get away with.) You could certainly bet 2600 instead, but i think going over 3000 would be a serious mistake. And preflop it's sort of similar, also I think people under-adjust their ranges to opening size and they're probably not defending wide enough to begin with (you have to realize 18.2% equity when defending the BB against a minraise), so raising larger will make their play closer to correct. Well, I posted the hand [I]because[/I] it didn't work on the flop. There are a lot of hands where I open some garbage, get one caller, and take the pot down on the flop with a small cbet. I can't prove this since I have no stats for live play, but I'd be pretty shocked if any button RFI has negative EV in spots like this. [/QUOTE]
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€100+10 NL HE MTT: Should you bet this Turn?
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