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Poker Strategy
Tournament Poker
Tournament Hand Analysis
$1.10 NL HE MTT: Facing an all-in bet under ICM pressure (Final table)
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[QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6723355, member: 305911"] Being at the final table makes this a more interesting spot due to more ICM with the payjumps. However, I think when we get AA, receive action from the chip leader, and start with less than 50 BBs we should not be looking to fold too often unless the runout really blows. Pre: I like 3.5x here instead of 3x. I also think 4x works as we are dealing with the chip leader who is probably running losse right now and trying to be boss at the table. That means they will have air a lot and fold (meaning going 3x vs 3.5x will likely not generate more calls) and if they have the table captain mentality then they will call off more anyway and going a little bigger gets more now. No chance either of a light 4 bet from the blinds due to final table and the chip leader opening. If you think CO could light 4 bet here if you go small then I am onboard with it but I doubt that in a low stakes tourney. Flop: In game I would just be going for value here and go less. I want them to stay in the hand and it helps drastically that we have the Ace of hearts. I dont like your sizing initially but then when it gets called I love it lol. We cant look at it that way but I would bet here an amount that I think some random floats could still float and would be thinking they dont have a ton of two hearts hands so probably 40-45% pot would be my sizing. Turn: As played I think there are two ways to go here and that would be to check or to jam... but both would be for the same reason. I would not be checking here because the heart scared me or that I am scared of a set, two pair, straight (which is crazy that was the outcome) but would be checking if I think villain is the type that if I check this turn and feign weakness that they will lead river every time and I can get it in then and they will have some price to call it off. If I dont think villain is that type then our flop sizing perfectly setup the turn jam (not sure if that was the intention or not with that sizing) and we should just get it in here. It comes down to what you think villain is more likely to call of/course of action they would do. If you think they can call it off here then go for it but if you think they will be agg when checked to on turn then checking to induce is not a bad play. Then add in the fact that we are not worried about the free card (minus the potential straight cards) since we have the nut flush draw. River: I said above that I would only be checking the turn to induce some river bet and we got it. Given its final table with ICM and the villain is the massive chip leader I think there are plenty of bluffs and Kx hands that really think they are ahead here and just jam into us for max pressure. Right or wrong my thinking could be here since lately things arent going well and I have been wrong way more than right, I would be snap calling here. Again, I would have checked turn to induce here (if I would have checked at all as stated above) and I got it so I would have no intention of folding. We could be beat by random K10 or other two pairs (would never have thought this villain could actually have 87 here) but I think there are plenty of bluffs and plays by villain to put max pressure on us and I think AA is too good to fold based on what we have left. [/QUOTE]
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$1.10 NL HE MTT: Facing an all-in bet under ICM pressure (Final table)
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