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[QUOTE="Shumkoolie, post: 6266896, member: 64267"]
3 of Phil's last 5 bracelets have come in non Hold'em games, so he has branched off, and has had some other close calls (going off memory, he lost HU in a Razz event), so I don't think Deeb's advantage is that significant over Hellmuth.

If Phil gets to 20+ bracelets, it's going to be very tough, but I agree that Shaun does play all the games very well and that maximizes his opportunities.  However, his weight is an issue as it can lead to other illnesses later in life (ie: Diabetes/Heart Disease).  I'm certain he's self-aware and realizes that part of the motivation must include getting healthier.  He does have time on his side, so in my opinion, it's 50-50 that he can do it.

Then, other factors may play into the probability of achieving this, such as his own life, and will things away from the poker table reduce his motivation to achieve it?  There's no way to predict that, as yes, while he may feel this way at age 35, will he have the same desire 5/10/20 years from now?  Will there be something new that draws his interest?  Hellmuth's unique in that regard, in that his motivation to winning bracelets hasn't waned over time.  If anything, he's become even more motivated.  He's also still young enough that, even at age 57, he might have another 10-15 years to win bracelets.  Plus, his sons are fully grown, so he's maintained the drive to win bracelets, even with family considerations.

This is an excellent question.  I'm leaning towards no, but hopefully Deeb has a good run at it.
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