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Variance
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[QUOTE="john victor6, post: 6721985, member: 435971"] Variance in poker refers to the natural fluctuation of the game's short-term outcomes. It is the difference between what is expected and the actual result that a player experiences in a given period. Although poker is a skill-based game, the presence of randomness introduces variance, making it possible for positive or negative outcomes to be taken even when the right decisions are made. Variation in poker is influenced by several factors, including the game variant, the number of players at the table, the betting structure, the sample size of hands played, and the skill of the opponents. It's important to understand that variation can cause significant fluctuations in the short term, even for skilled players. For example, even a highly skilled player may lose several consecutive hands due to the random distribution of cards. These temporary losses can lead to a sequence of negative outcomes, sometimes referred to as a “downswing”. Likewise, variance can also bring unexpected positive results, such as winning several consecutive hands or a big tournament. Proper variance management is an essential part of long-term success in poker. Here are some strategies that players can adopt to deal with variance: 1. Adequate bankroll: Having an adequate bank is essential to withstand negative fluctuations without running out of money. A proper bankroll is generally recommended to withstand periods of variance and allow you to continue playing. 2. Focus on the right decisions: Focus on making the right decisions based on the information available, instead of just worrying about short-term results. In the long term, correct decisions will prevail and overcome variance. 3. Analysis and learning: When facing negative outcomes, it's important to analyze your game objectively and identify possible areas for improvement. This helps you adjust your strategy and hone your skills over time. 4. Stay emotionally calm: Variance can be emotionally challenging. It's important to control emotions and avoid making impulsive or surviving decisions. Maintaining a stable mindset helps you make rational decisions and avoid costly mistakes. 5. Establish realistic goals: Define realistic goals and develop in the long term. Understand that poker is a game of skill and that consistent positive results are usually achieved over a large number of hands played. In short, variation is an intrinsic part of poker. It can bring short-term fluctuations, both positive and negative, regardless of the player's skill. Managing variation, taking a disciplined approach, and focusing on making the right decisions are key elements to long-term success in poker. [/QUOTE]
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