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đ Win-Rate Wednesday : Stop Bleeding Chips in Multiway Pots
A lot of players in live cash games love to see multiway flops â it feels like a chance to win a big one. But the reality is: you rarely flop strong hands, and when youâre up against 3+ opponents, someone else usually connects.
đ¤ Quick Quiz:
With suited connectors like 9â ď¸ 8â ď¸, how often do you think you flop:
- Two pair or better?
- A flush draw?
- An open-ended straight draw?
đHere are the real numbers:
Big Made Hands (Two Pair or Better):
Outcome | Approx. % |
---|---|
Two Pair | 2% |
Trips | 1% |
Straight | 1% |
Flush | 1% |
Full House/Quads | <1% |
Total | ~5% |
Good Draws:
Outcome | Approx. % |
---|---|
Flush Draw | 11% |
Open-Ended Straight Draw | 10% |
Combo Draw (OESD + Flush) | 1% |
Total | ~22% |
Marginal / Weak Outcomes:
Outcome | Approx. % |
---|---|
One Pair (9 or 8) | 29% |
No Pair, No Draw | 33% |
Gutshot Straight Draw | 11% |
Total | ~73% |
So what hands should you play multiway?
- Pocket pairs: Flop a set ~12% of the timeâalmost 2.5x as often as suited connectors.
- Suited Ax or Kx: Can make top pair with the best kicker, and when you hit a flush, youâre often over-flushing.
đ§ Small Edges Add Up
Avoiding marginal multiway spots (or at least picking the right hands for them) wonât make you rich overnight â but itâs how winning players separate from breakeven ones. And donât forget: in most live games, especially 1/2 or 1/3, rake quietly turns marginal plays into losing ones.
Next session, track:
Whatâs the last multiway pot you regret playing, and why?
đ¤ Letâs share some leaks and plug them together.
Next session, track:
- How many multiway pots you enter
- Which hands youâre using
Whatâs the last multiway pot you regret playing, and why?
đ¤ Letâs share some leaks and plug them together.