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Luck, what percentage?
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[QUOTE="vanquish, post: 584101, member: 20188"] Let's not be ridiculous. "Luck," as defined in the game of poker, means tendency of events to be positive from your perspective (you being dealt better cards than your opponent - or otherwise favoring you). Over an infinite number of hands, events would favor every player the same exact amount of times (luck is "divided" equally amongst all players, given that all players play infinite hands), thus meaning that skill would be the only true determinant of winning and losing. So basically, the pros WOULD win whilst your average Joes would lose over a period of infinite hands. Infinity is impossible to achieve, and since players generally play very few hands in one given session (relative to infinity), the player who has the most "luck" (the player whom the cards have helped most in the session) may win more money than the more skilled player. In other words, in poker, luck outweighs skill in the short term, but skill outweighs luck in the long term (to quote Zen and the Art of Poker: the long run is longer than you think --> may be more than a lifetime of play). Saying that "luck is spread evenly" outside of the poker world makes no sense, since "luck" may only be defined within a certain realm to be dealt with properly (how can you compare someone being lucky in cards (receiving good hands etc) to someone being lucky in love (being in the right place at the right time and meeting the right person)?) Luck must be dealt with contextually, and not as some type of ethereal force that "chooses" certain individuals or something of the sort, to be discussed intelligently. Otherwise I could just say "God chooses Jerry Yang to win the Main Event thus the game of poker is '100% luck,' because whoever God chooses is lucky.") Know what I'm sayin'? @ Ripptyde: Those numbers weren't serious - I was just trying to give an example of luck weighed against skill in a real context. [/QUOTE]
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