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Message: [QUOTE="pentazepam, post: 6902966, member: 46058"] The "problem" with online MTTs is that if you don't work in teams and share the winnings the variance is ridiculous. Here is an old article that simulated the outcomes for one of the best players online at the time: [URL unfurl="true"]http://www.nsdpoker.com/2011/01/mtt-pros/[/URL] So over 10 years you will always have outliers on both sides. And as you know bots, RTA, RTS, and other computer-assisted programs are becoming more and more common. Add true AI assistance to the mix and poker online will soon be like chess online. No one will play it to earn money. People will still play tournaments like they still play Casino games - but the edges will be extremely small even for the best. So 10-15 years in the past say very little about just a few years in the future. If your friends are smart enough to make more than 100k a year in poker - they should be smart enough to make even more in a different field. [/QUOTE]