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Message: [QUOTE="sandy358, post: 7137491, member: 1040401"] Yes, kind of. In the short term the variance can be huge, but over time all your gains tend to aproach the average (aka depending on the EV that you get), because variance generally cancels out itself (though not the gambler's fallacy way). This is basically why in poker it can be annoying to estimate your own skill, because it is hard to understand without looking for a long time if your upswings/downswings are the result of the skill (or the lack of it) or is this just you getting a bit lucky/unlucky. [/QUOTE]