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Message: [QUOTE="F Paulsson, post: 375397, member: 6979"] Bill, I like your experiment as a way of practising aggression and hand reading skills. But there are very good reasons for why major authors recommend just calling the river, and limiting yourself to betting or folding is going to lose money in the long run. And the run doesn't even have to be that long. Consider this scenario: You have [COLOR=red]A♥[/COLOR][COLOR=black]A♣[/COLOR] Board shows [COLOR=black]10♣[/COLOR][COLOR=red]10♦[/COLOR][COLOR=red]9♦[/COLOR][COLOR=red]8♦[/COLOR]7♠ He bets. The pot is now 15 big bets, and it's one more for you to call. Do you fold here? Are you 94% sure he has you beat? Consider what could happen if you raise him. Would he call with a worse hand? Would he fold a better hand? Calling is by far the superior alternative here. The reason what you're suggesting is incorrect is because missing a raise only loses you money the times where your opponent has a good hand that [I]doesn't have you beat.[/I] If he's bluffing, you gain nothing from raising - he'll just fold, and the net gain for you is precisely the same as if you had called. If he has you beat, you've cost yourself a minimum of one extra big bet. There are many situations where check/calling is the best option. If you're out of position, and you suspect that your opponent has nothing but a busted straight draw, do you bet? Why? If you're right, he'll just fold. If you're wrong, he could have you beat. No, the correct play here is to check with a legitimate hand, and give him the opportunity to bluff. Far too often, he will, and you will have gained an extra bet. Some times he will bet with a hand that's better than yours, and you will call and lose no more than had you bet out. And yes, some times he will check a legitimate hand that you can beat. But those times won't make up for the money that you lose from denying him the opportunity to bluff, and the times that you bet right into his made hand. [/QUOTE]

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