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Poker Strategy
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Cash Game Hand Analysis
Nut flush, paired board
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[QUOTE="Dorkus Malorkus, post: 457645, member: 6020"] In these scenarios you need to ask three main questions. 1) Is there anything in villain's range that he calls a near-pot bet that he doesn't call a push with (and that you beat)? The more hands there are in this 'sub-range', the greater the argument for a standard raise. [I]I don't think there are many hands that apply here. Maybe something like a mid-pp or Qx, but we can't be anywhere near certain of this. Pushing isn't that far removed in $ terms from near-pot betting because of stack sizes, and a push to some players in this spot might look like more of a steal attempt than a 'standard' raise. Argument for pushing.[/I] 2) If villain pushes over the top of a standard raise, are you going to call? The easier it is for you to call, the greater the argument for just pushing. [I]If we raise to $25 and villain pushes we're obviously calling because of stack sizes, the odds we'll be getting, and the fact we have a big hand. Argument for pushing.[/I] 3) How likely is it that villain will call a push or call/raise a pot bet with a hand you beat? The less likely it is, the greater the argument for a call as opposed to a raise. [I]If villain has a hand that beats us, he's pretty obviously pushing against standard raise. However, there are many more hands that we beat and are calling us as opposed to hands that are beating us, especially as the pair on board is deuces (a lot less scary than a board with say paired Kings and other high cards) and we can generally rule out QQ because of the action prior to the river. Argument for making a raise, not calling.[/I] Basically, ask all three questions and formulate an action based on your answers. Here, all the signals appear to point to raising as opposed to calling, and to that raise being a push as opposed to a standard raise. In a tournament with equivalent stacks and against a very loose pf player I [I]might[/I] even just call the river, but in a cash game, without any huge 'nit' reads you have to push your edge here. [/QUOTE]
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