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Easy call or just wait for a better time ?
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[QUOTE="Four Dogs, post: 461095, member: 2668"] Insta call? Insta fold. Your friend has exactly [B]AJ[/B], probably suited spades or hearts. Absolutely nothing else makes sense. You say he's TAG but solid, not a total donk then. Probably aware of the table? Does he see you as a maniac? No! So, if you're using PT to define his style, tight means he plays less than 20% of his hands. I can't see him entering the pot from EP with anything less than a mid to high pair or Ace Paint; suited is just more likely for a tight player. You also say he likes to bluff paired boards; but that's not what he's doing here. If he were bluffing, wouldn't you expect him to bet out, or check raise? But no; he check-called your pot sized raise on the flop and then check-raised the turn after you had shown strength 3 times. He must know you've got a hand. A good player would not be that sure that an all-in bet would not be called, but he pushes anyway. Only [B]AJ[/B] or [B]JJ[/B] would be that confident. So why not [B]AK[/B]? Again, a good player has seen you show real strength. Assuming he see's you as a solid player as well, he'd have to consider trip jacks on your part a strong possibility. The same goes for [B]AA[/B]. How 'bout [B]KK[/B]. It still doesn't work. Why? Because now he has the nut full house. His $33 raise is too big. A 1/3 to 3/4 pot sized bet would have a better chance of being called. The same logic applies to [B]JJ [/B](quads). So, why the over sized all-in bet at all if he's that confident? Because the [B]Kc[/B] is a scare card. With only trip Jacks, he's vulnerable to any club but the 3. He's not worried about the made flush as your strong bets before the turn make it unlikely that you're suited. Before the turn, he was perfectly willing to let you take the lead as long as you kept betting, but the flush draw changed everything. Now he must protect his hand. His all-in bet now makes it a mistake to persue the flush. Your getting less than 3:1 odds to call with no money behind. Too bad you called.;) [/QUOTE]
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