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[QUOTE="ChuckTs, post: 495548, member: 467"]
Looks like the consensus is that a call is terrible here :o
(I called, he showed 44 which held; but of course results = irrelevant)

True, but my question is whether it was a good call based on pot odds or not ie are they good enough to call vs his range (which was pretty poorly estimated methinks).

Sounds silly, but it was a gut feeling.  I know you can't rely on these solely, but my feel was that he had a medium/small pair like 99 and under, and more often than not when I make a play based on gut feeling, my read is right.  I think the range can be changed (we'll take out AJ+):

[B]     equity     win     tie           pots won     pots tied    
Hand 0:     74.358%      74.11%     00.25%              46954           159.00   { JJ-22, ATs, KTs, ATo, KTo }
Hand 1:     25.642%      25.39%     00.25%              16088           159.00   { AdKs }[/B]

Agreed on the range?  I think there's also an outside chance of him making a play with a heart draw, but we'll ignore that for now since I don't really know how to include that into a range in pokerstove.  KT + KTs are pretty out there, but I'll include them.

So we're only a 2.9:1 underdog here (based on that range, if accurate) and we're almost getting good enough pot odds to call based on that range.  If we factor in the random AK making this play (believe me, I'd seen worse at this table) and a random heart draw, I think this is a closer call than you guys say.  It's definitely a gamble, but I don't think this is an auto-fold...

I could of course be completely wrong...opinions/comments?
[/QUOTE]

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