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[QUOTE="F Paulsson, post: 371640, member: 6979"]
If I'm going to check this flop (which I didn't, but that's not really the point), I want to do it for the right reasons; that's why I'm including the river play in case I check.

The reason I want to discuss the option of checking is because of how it seems to me that the relative value of my hand is unlikely to change with the next card. If I'm ahead now, I'm very likely ahead after the next card (or have a redraw to make me ahead again). If I'm behind now, I have two (maybe four) outs, and am unlikely to catch up.

If I'm ahead: Any legitimate draw that they could have (a flush draw) is not going to bail out to a single bet here either, so I can't bet to protect: I can only bet for value, and giving them correct odds in taking another card.

If I'm behind: I get a free card on the turn giving me a chance to catch up. I will also have more information based on how they bet, and possibly induce a bluff that will make me money that I otherwise will have missed out on.

I think it's close between checking and betting. However, and this is important, if I did not have a redraw to the nut flush, I would bet this flop every time, as a third club could spell disaster.
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