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[QUOTE="Dorkus Malorkus, post: 575360, member: 6020"]
Blech, this is horrible, let's take a stab at giving a range by the turn (I think calling the flop is correct).

AA-JJ
77-66
AdKd-AdQd (all these should be obvious)
AJ (this might be contentious but it's folded to villain in LMP, even most nits will raise [I]sometimes[/I] here. the small flop c-bet is designed to look weak, he sees your raise and thinks "hey, my fake weak bet worked!" and minreraises - which tbh doesn't make a lot of sense whatever he has considering the draw-heavy nature of the board, but I suppose it does set him up for a pot-sized push on the turn if called, heh. also, just because an overcard has fallen doesn't necessarily stop him from shoving the turn with AJ - the range he has you on probably won't include a lot of Qx hands)

equity     win     tie           pots won     pots tied    
Hand 0:     40.289%      38.77%     01.52%                563            22.00   { KhKs }
Hand 1:     59.711%      58.20%     01.52%                845            22.00   { JJ+, 77-66, AdKd, AdQd, AJs, AJo }

Getting 2-1 we can call (although we really don't like doing so).

Taking AJ out means we're crushed and it's an easy fold.

equity     win     tie           pots won     pots tied    
Hand 0:     12.662%      10.28%     02.38%                 95            22.00   { KhKs }
Hand 1:     87.338%      84.96%     02.38%                785            22.00   { JJ+, 77-66, AdKd, AdQd }

I suppose what I'm getting at is that the crux of this hand is how plausible you think it is that he could have AJ here. It's definitely not a 100% (or close) certainty that a nitty player will play AJ like this, which leads me to prefer folding.
[/QUOTE]

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