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$5 NLHE 6-max: Turned flush vs turn check-raise
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6162254, member: 397965"] First of all when interpreting HUD stats its very important to know the sample size. VPIP 41 / PFR 35 over 300 hands is definitely someone, who is playing to many hands even for 6-max and also playing them very aggressively. Its a player, who is more towards the recreational player side of the spectrum, and who might be able to make some wild moves postflop. However VPIP 41 / PFR 35 over 40 hands might just be a good solid LAG running card hot, and you would not want to make to many adjustments against this player yet. Especially not if some of the hands were collected on a less than full table. Preflop As others have said, this is a bit to loose. You need to be in CO or at a minimum HJ to open this hand. Flop C-bet is fine, and small sizing is ok as well, if you think, he is not going to defend enough against it. Turn Betting again is fine, sizing looks good as well. But now the hand gets interesting, because you get check-raised, and its also a very large check-raise, since he basically pressed the "pot" button. If you call, there will be around a pot sized bet left for the river, so your stack is definitely at risk now. As for his range, I dont think, he is doing this for value with a hand worse than a flush. It makes no sense for him to play passively on the flop with a J or 2, when he is facing a very small C-bet and now suddenly wake up with this huge raise on the turn when he is facing a bigger bet on a board, which has gotten much worse for him. So the range, you need to put him on, is a few boats (mainly 66), flushes and then maybe some bluffs. For a player with these kind of stats I definitely dont think, we can rule out, that he is on a wild bluff or doing this with a hand like AJ with the A of diamonds for no reason. Once in a while he could also have a worse flush, even though there are more combos of better flushes than worse flushes. So I think, the play here is to call and pray, he dont bomb the river. And if he does, we will need to make a decision. If a 4-flush has come, we will have an relatively easy fold. I dont think, it really does anything to get it in now, because he is just going to snap call with all the hands, you are drawing dead against, and fold most of the hands, you are ahead off. Even if he has a hand like 75 of diamonds for a worse flush, its not completely unreasonable to fold it to a 3-bet jam on a paired board. Finally if this was a more nitty player like a 19/16 or something, I would give strong consideration to folding right now. He will never know, that I folded a flush, so I am not worried about getting exploited by that kind of player. In fact I think, I am exploiting him by overfolding in a situation, where he probably have very few if any bluffs in his range, when he choose this line and sizing. [/QUOTE]
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$5 NLHE 6-max: Turned flush vs turn check-raise
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