Reply to thread

Message

[QUOTE="GreenDaddy1, post: 6180249, member: 337531"]
Do we really need to be protecting ourselves against AK once we see this flop?

Surely we want him to overplay it, keep drawing to the rare flush or hoping for another A or K to hit etc, and get his stack that way, rather than think he will call off here vs the jam often enough? Even with a flush draw for one combo we're a very decent favourite on this flop vs AK - about 73% favourite in fact.

I think we win the minimum against AK often with the jam, but we've already accepted we are losing the maximum if he has KK+. That doesn't add up for me. We want to try to win the maximum from all his combos of AK to balance out what we lose from all the combos of KK+. Not only that, but the rare times he might have JJ, TT or a bluff (which I appreciate he may have none of if the read is correct) we're also probably folding those out with the jam too rather than letting villain hang themselves.

Another question too, for better poker minds than mine: If we are convinced villain range here is definitely reduced to AA, KK & AK, can we just fold pre? How can we argue that either calling and trying to make the best of it post flop, or jamming it all in pre, is plus ev? I suspect that long term the times we do get paid off by AK through either strategy is not enough for us to come out ahead.
[/QUOTE]

Verification

Search

Reply to thread

About CardsChat

Our Community

Our Site

Follow us

Language