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Message: [QUOTE="eetenor, post: 5691525, member: 385063"] Thank U 4 Posting I am watching one street at a time. Preflop our V is in SB and 3 bets us and has 26/16. These stats suggest a very tight range in this spot. We have only a few hands but we need to be cautious in this spot especially with KQ as AQ AK AA which are all in V's range and we are not going to get stacks in feeling great with one pair.. It is not likely we are being 3 bet by QJ or KJ for instance. Flop V checks V will check AA 66 77 so we cannot rule those hands out. Maybe they check AK AQ AJ but should they with the 2 flush spot? We check. If V is checking KK QQ JJ 1010 99 88 do we ever want to small bet this flop, representing the Ax we could easily have. Do we want to win this pot with Khigh? Will your player pool fold under pairs? If yes than we want to be betting with position and a backup flush draw to hit or win without a hit. Turn How fast did this V bet this? Also they are giving good odds to call so if they are value betting JJ 1010 this is bad sizing, We are getting 31% vs JJ. Also what do they think calls a value bet? This sizing suggests not minding getting called. Knowing this I would still be very suspicious. I also know that I may be drawing dead on this turn. We call and make a river read here that is the plan. There is no way to be any more than 50% certain a flush wins for us vs this V on this turn. So it is a literal coin flip decision on the river with this data if we make a flush. River Ohh this sucks. Do you have river stats? Ok with no stats we use player pool tendencies. How often is this a bluff? QQ turned their hand into a bluff Y? If you missed the flush draw you are not calling if you have JJ you should not call. At your stake level most players payoff with the K but you have the most likely 3bet from SB flush draw hand so V is not bluffing a missed draw that often. If QQ bet the turn why is it not check bluff catching river? Or at least check see what u do or check -check raise bluff? Does QQ expect a call from JJ for that sizing on that board? AQ on the other hand might expect a call from a K or a worse A expecting AK to have 4 bet pre. All this said if this V had none of these thoughts than this could be a bluff with 33 You should have slow played your Ax hands in this spot, is that true for your player pool? What does this V think you will fold here that is ahead of the V's QQ? Is it not more common to expect calls in this spot than folds in your player pool? Results As I predicted tight range preflop As I predicted checking flop for value. As I predicted not trying to get you to fold turn with that sizing. As I predicted not a bluff on the river but a nut big bet. This V may have made the sizing wrong on the river. Think about why it is the wrong sizing and quote and reply with your thinking and I will tell you what I think. Going deeper into a hand like this helps us grow faster. Hope this helps :):) [/QUOTE]

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