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Cash Game Hand Analysis
€400 NL HE Full Ring: Big River decision on the last hand of the night
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[QUOTE="primrose, post: 7070757, member: 1036998"] This is a hand played in a casino. We're told that it's the last hand and I get dealt :as4: :kc4: in the LJ. I have about 500 chips (125BB), Villain has more. I raise 12 (3BB). Villain in the BB 3bets to 64. This 3bet means absolutely nothing. SB just raised the straddle on the previous hand with nothing. It's the last hand of the night; he's goofing off. This could literally be T7o. In general, Villain is a losing recreational player doing the usual recreational-player-y things. (And of course, I have AK so I could 4bet even a normal range.) I 4bet 154. BB calls. Flop comes :jh4: :9h4: :4c4: (Pot=310). Villain checks. This is close to the worst possible Flop I could have gotten. Villain will probably call the 4bet too wide, but he won't call with everything. This flop nails is range. I was going to cbet almost everything, but now there's no point. A J won't fold, a 9 won't fold, and he probably doesn't have many 4s. Other Aces or broadways without the J I'm already beating. A bet would be literally targeting only pocket pairs, and there are far more combinations of Jx and 9x. So I check behind. Turn comes :8s4: (Pot=310). Villain checks. Gross card. I still don't see much of a reason to bet. After two checks I might even be better here. I check. (This one I think is more debatable, still not sure.) River comes :2d4: (Pot=310). Villain bets 230. In this situation it is important to remember that live players don't bluff, do not look them up, live players don't bluff, do not look them up, live players don't bluff, do not look them up, live players don't arghh but his line makes no sense! Villain might 3bet everything, but even he won't call a 4bet with total garbage, so he should have almost no 2s. I'd have heard from a J by now. A 9 would not bet, it would just try to get to a cheap showdown. A pocket pair also wouldn't bet for the same reason. Even if he were value betting a medium pair, he wouldn't go so big. Even if he has hit the 2, he wouldn't bet it for the same reason! he'd just hope that I have AK and his pair of 2s is good! The hands where this bet makes sense are stuff like A5, A3, KT, or even total air like 67s. I think he could trap a monster on the Flop, but he wouldn't check twice. Also I need to be right here less than 1/3 of the time. So I decide to make the call. What do you think? [SPOILER]Villain had pocket 2s[/SPOILER] [/QUOTE]
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€400 NL HE Full Ring: Big River decision on the last hand of the night
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