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€400 NL HE Full Ring: Big bluff or big value bet on River
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[QUOTE="primrose, post: 6973364, member: 1036998"] This was a hand played in a casino. The villain is a regular. He's not good; he overplays his hands all the time. I still wouldn't be shocked if he's a winning player though just because he's aggressive and most people are passive; maybe that's all it takes. This hand is reconstructed from memory, details are probably off. Villain is UTG+1; Hero is in the CO. Hero has a little bit over a 400€ stack; villain has slightly more. Hero has :ah4: :qc4: . Villain opens to 20€ (5BB). I think Villain is opening too many hands, and I specifically had a read that he was opening larger with weaker hands, so I 3-bet to 60€. Everyone else folds and villain calls. Flop comes :qd4: :js4: :8d4: (Pot = 126€). Villain checks. I think my hand is not especially vulnerable and I want to keep Villain in the pot, so I bet low-ish with 40€ despite the texture. I'd have bet more against other opponents. Villain calls. Turn comes :10h4: (Pot = 206€) and Villain checks. I don't think my opponent has many 9s; I still think I likely have the best hand, so I keep barrelling. I bet 80€. Villain calls. River comes :3d4: (Pot=366€) and Villain, after thinking for a while, bets 230€, just slightly less than my remaining stack. So the question is, what now? I decided to make the fold. I think betting the turn was already arguably contingent on my read of Villain, but now it gets genuinely hard to see which hands he could have that I still beat. Flush is very much in his range, but also he could have just had TJ or AK. And even though I think Villain is loose, I haven't seen him run crazy bluffs all that often; it's more thinking his hands are better than they really are. Villain showed the :kd4: which of course doesn't answer the question. He also said that he put me on Aces, which doesn't answer the question, either. Was this a good fold? There's also a case for checking the Turn; maybe I made too much of my read. [/QUOTE]
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€400 NL HE Full Ring: Big bluff or big value bet on River
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