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[QUOTE="Hermus, post: 6178218, member: 346197"]
You have to discount your overs a little bit when calling the flop and turn because you're in a 3-bet pot. As we see later on the river hitting an ace doesn't feel that good.

In situations where both ranges miss the board more or less completely, overpairs become super valuable. Because you can't really rep QQ+ the uncapped range plays way better on this board.

33% is a tiny bet, but for the reasons mentioned I don't think the call is as clear as you make it out to be. Unless you think he's betting 100% range here folding isn't out of the question.

As played, the river jam could include all missed flushes with an ace of which you beat a few. Though I suspect most people check back the river IP when they pick up some showdown value on the river. It could also include some premium pocket pairs that are tilt shoving because they just got demoted to second pair, though they should probably just check back. At this point AQ? and AJ are the best combos in your range so if you're ever calling this would be the hand to do it with. On a table that plays like a live table, folding range is probably not bad if not best, and certainly the lower variance play.
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