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[QUOTE="Tammy, post: 418907, member: 3824"]
Well, what could Villain hold that would beat you? QQ or JJ--highly unlikely since you could almost guarantee pre-flop raises with either of these hands.  4/5--possible, but why would anyone play this hand at all, let alone UTG?  Sure, you can argue the suited connector theory, but [I]4/5 suited?  [/I]Unless of course he's the type to play any two suited cards...
 
I'm thinking he's holding Qx of spades (perhaps [Qs][js]).  He hits top pair and a flush draw on the flop, and bets out.  No raises on the flop, so he's feeling pretty good about his hand.
 
The turn is non-threatening, in his eyes his hand is good (plus he still has outs for his flush, he's thinking) raise it up. River card (to him) only sweetens his hand if he is indeed holding [qs][js].
 
Given that the only hand you conceivably have to worry about is 4/5 to make the straight, and considering pot size ($42) in relation to what a capped bet would cost you ($4) you have to cap to get more money in the pot.  Yes, I think you would win this more than 50% of the time (but don't ask me to work this out :p).
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