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Message: [QUOTE="Egon Towst, post: 527399, member: 11768"] Well, I thought it was a toughie. :p I see I`m going to have to find something trickier to test you guys. Too many poker-playing dudes round here. :) Against a random hand, we are obviously a big favourite here. In practice, though, I think (or thought at the time) his most likely holding is A2o or A2s. That seems to best fit the betting so far. If that is his hand, we are behind about 65/35, or 1.9:1. Allowing for the fact that $2.34 will be returned to him (because we can`t quite match his stack), we are being asked a price of $6.15 to call a pot of $14.15, or 2.3:1, so pot odds favour a call. Now I know that you old lags understand all this :p , but bear with me while I put another way for the benefit of the newer members. If we call this bet 100 times, the expected outcome will be: 65 times, we will lose $6.15, a total loss of $399.75. 35 times, we will win $14.15, a total profit of $495.25. Long term, we will make more than we lose. So, even though one may think, "Damn, he likely has the straight, we are beaten", the correct course of action is to call. (Actually, it`s even more clearly correct when you consider that he may not have the straight at all. It`s possible he might make the same move with {say} pocket 4s.) So: [SIZE=3]EGONTOWST - All-In $6.15[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]CJKELLY - returned ($2.34) : not called[/SIZE] Can you guess what happened next ?? Go on, guess. :) [SIZE=3]*** TURN *** [5c 3s 4d] [Kh][/SIZE] [SIZE=3]*** RIVER *** [5c 3s 4d Kh] [4h] :eek: :eek: :eek: [/SIZE] [SIZE=3]*** SHOW DOWN ***[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]CJKELLY - Shows [7s 6s] (Straight, three to seven) [/SIZE] [SIZE=3]EGONTOWST - Shows [5s 5h] (Full house, fives full of fours) [/SIZE] [SIZE=3]EGONTOWST Collects $19.30 from main pot[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]*** SUMMARY ***[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]Total Pot($20.30) | Rake ($1)[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]Board [5c 3s 4d Kh 4h][/SIZE] [SIZE=3]Seat 1: CJKELLY HI:lost with Straight, three to seven [7s 6s - P:7s,P:6s,B:5c,B:4h,B:3s] [/SIZE] [SIZE=3]Seat 2: EGONTOWST (dealer) won Total ($19.30) All-In HI:($19.30) with Full house, fives full of fours [5s 5h - P:5s,P:5h,B:5c,B:4h,B:4d] [/SIZE] [SIZE=3]Seat 3: MAGUSMAN (small blind) Folded on the FLOP[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]Seat 5: NLPLYR32 (big blind) Folded on the FLOP[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]Seat 6: MUCKIT85 Folded on the POCKET CARDS[/SIZE] Poor guy got them all in with the nuts and still lost. :eek: Isn`t it funny how what he probably saw as a stinking bad beat is actually correct play from our perspective. That`s poker. ;) [/QUOTE]

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