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Poker Strategy
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£200 NL HE Full Ring: £200 Oesd on the flop
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7136852, member: 397965"] Preflop Seems completely fine to call here. Flop If you bet this flop, its not a bluff, because no better hand will ever fold. So its a bet for value and equity denial, and since its kind of thin value, you dont need to bet full pot. I do like a bet here though, because its 3-handed, and you dont want to let random hands like QT or KJ get there for free. When UTG raise, its extremely strong action because of your sizing and the fact, BB has already called. UTG has now put in 87 and only have 113 left in the effective stack. I understand these numbers are not accurate, but its close enough. UTG has basically committed himself to this pot, so I think, you need to threat this as an effective all-in. If you call, you can not fold on the turn and should expect, that he usually jam. And if you jam, he will never fold. So with this in mind we can simply pull out Equilab (away from the table of course) and see, what your equity is. If we assume, BB will fold, if you 3-bet jam, then pot will be 427, and its 173 more for you to jam. This mean, you need 40,5% equity. The worst case scenario is, you are never ahead. Lets say his range is 55+, 97s and 87s. In this case you only have 33% equity. If I add a few more hands like 76s and A7s, you have 38%. We can also check the math, if BB call and UGT overcall. I will give BB a different range by removing JJ+ but adding a lot of offsuit connectors and A7o. Now you have 26% equity. The pot will be 600, so you need 28%. In both cases your equity is to low, so unless we assume, UTG will sometimes make it 80 and then fold to a jam, this is sadly a fold. [/QUOTE]
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£200 NL HE Full Ring: £200 Oesd on the flop
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