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[QUOTE="primrose, post: 7129556, member: 1036998"]
I know this has been said before but these are insane stakes to play if you're not a really seasoned pro. 6max is probably even harder. I would seriously question whether you can actually beat the rake even after 100k hands; this is not a large enough sample to rule out just running hot. The hands you've shown were all quite solid so maybe you can beat the game, but there's a difference between "quite solid" and "beating the rake at 200NL"

I don't have much advice on the hand. Folding to a 1/3 pot bet here is thin because you could easily be ahead, but if you call, then a competent player can make your life hell on the River. Which is again the problem with playing these stakes; if you were against weaker competition, you could call more easily and then the huge bluff on the River often wouldn't come. As is you'd have to know whether they're the kind of player who will put in a huge bluff on the River, which is much harder to know than basic stats like aggression factor.
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